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La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
Celta Vigo logo
Villarreal
3 - 1
Celta Vigo
Jackson (2', 12'), Terrats (70')
Capoue (22')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Strand Larsen (29')
Seferovic (25'), Vazquez (45+1'), Nunez (49'), Tapia (54'), Carvalhal (58')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 4-2 Espanyol
Thursday, April 27 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Elche
Wednesday, April 26 at 9pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-1 Celta Vigo

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, as Villarreal look to continue their push for the top four. There is no real pressure on Celta, which could work in the away team's favour on Sunday, but we are still expecting the Yellow Submarine to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-2 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawCelta Vigo
56.19% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 22.37% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 21.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 55.95% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.83% (-0.32 -0.32)43.16% (0.319 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.43% (-0.315 -0.31)65.56% (0.315 0.31)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.8% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)15.19% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.18% (-0.248 -0.25)43.82% (0.246 0.25)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.97% (-0.18299999999999 -0.18)34.02% (0.183 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.29% (-0.2 -0.2)70.7% (0.19799999999999 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 56.19%
    Celta Vigo 21.43%
    Draw 22.37%
VillarrealDrawCelta Vigo
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.74% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 9.18% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.22% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.72% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 56.19%
1-1 @ 10.5% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.17% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.37%
1-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.57% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 3% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 21.43%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Celta Vigo

Villarreal
85.7%
Draw
8.2%
Celta Vigo
6.1%
49
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2023 8pm
Mar 12, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 28
Villarreal
1-0
Celta Vigo
Parejo (64')
Iborra (34')

Galan (90+4')
Nov 20, 2021 1pm
gameweek 14
Celta Vigo
1-1
Villarreal
Mendez (72')
Mina (17')
Moreno (27')
Foyth (45')
May 9, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 35
Villarreal
2-4
Celta Vigo
Gomez (25'), Moreno (87' pen.)
Estupinan (5'), Asenjo (33'), Pino (89')
Rulli (45+4'), Gaspar (45+7')
Mina (19', 34'), Mendez (45+3' pen.), Solari (57')
Araujo (44'), Ferreyra (79')
Ferreyra (88')
Jan 8, 2021 8pm
gameweek 18
Celta Vigo
0-4
Villarreal

Mendez (58')
Moreno (5'), Gomez (14'), Parejo (19'), Nino (31')
rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona37284569185188
2Real Madrid37245874353977
3Atletico MadridAtletico37237768313776
4Real Sociedad37208949341568
5Villarreal371961257381963
6Real BetisBetis37178124540559
7Osasuna37148153541-650
8Athletic Bilbao37148154642450
9GironaGirona371310145753449
10Rayo Vallecano371310144550-549
11Sevilla371310144652-649
12Mallorca37138163443-947
13Valencia37118184144-341
14CadizCadiz371011162952-2341
15Getafe371011163445-1141
16Almeria37117194662-1640
17Celta Vigo371010174152-1140
18Real ValladolidValladolid37116203363-3039
REspanyol37812174966-1736
RElcheElche3759232966-3724

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