Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.