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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
39.21% ( 0.01) | 28.66% ( -0) | 32.13% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 45.41% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.02% ( 0.01) | 60.98% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.02% ( 0.01) | 80.98% ( -0) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.73% ( 0.01) | 30.27% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.56% ( 0.01) | 66.44% ( -0.01) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.12% | 34.88% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.38% ( 0) | 71.62% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
1-0 @ 12.61% 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.33% Total : 39.2% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.55% 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.65% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7% 0-2 @ 5.86% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.18% Total : 32.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 53 |
2 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
3 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 49 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 46 |
6 | Barnsley | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 43 |
7 | Stevenage | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 43 |
8 | Blackpool | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 39 |
9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 32 |
12 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 30 |
14 | Port Vale | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
15 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 30 |
16 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 29 |
17 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 27 |
19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 27 |
20 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 26 |
21 | Reading | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 23 |
22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |