League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Oxford Utd
1 - 0
Carlisle
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bristol City 5-1 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Wednesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
We said: Oxford United 2-1 Carlisle United
Manning will feel that he and his Oxford side are under pressure to deliver in this game, whereas Carlisle can play with a certain level of freedom. Despite those contrasting mentalities, we are backing Oxford to edge this fixture, potentially with a goal in the closing stages. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Carlisle United |
31.95% ( -0.01) | 27.52% ( -0.01) | 40.53% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.62% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
