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Carlisle United
League Two | 2nd Leg
May 20, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Bradford City
Carlisle
3 - 1
Bradford
Halliday (21' og.), Guy (98'), Barclay (112')
Armer (6'), Garner (60'), Guy (96')
FT
(aet)
Derbyshire (106')
Clayton (42')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Bradford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Carlisle
Sunday, May 14 at 7pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Carlisle
Sunday, May 14 at 7pm in League Two

We say: Carlisle United 1-1 Bradford City (Bradford win 2-1 on aggregate)

Carlisle will give it their absolute all with a place in the playoff final on the line, but Bradford have shown that they know how to get the job done away from home all season. As such, we expect the visitors to pick up a draw, which will be enough to book their place at Wembley on May 28th. Read more.
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBradford City
36.62% (0.195 0.2) 28.06% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 35.32% (-0.2 -0.2)
Both teams to score 47.59% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.5% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)58.5% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.92% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)79.08% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.4% (0.10600000000001 0.11)30.6% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17% (0.124 0.12)66.84% (-0.119 -0.12)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.58% (-0.145 -0.14)31.42% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.2% (-0.168 -0.17)67.8% (0.172 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 36.61%
    Bradford City 35.32%
    Draw 28.06%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 11.38% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.8% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.74% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.08% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 36.61%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.62% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.06%
0-1 @ 11.13% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 35.32%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Bradford

Carlisle United
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Bradford City
14.3%
14

Prediction and betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.

Head to Head
May 14, 2023 7pm
Mar 21, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 28
Bradford
0-0
Carlisle

Oliver (79'), Oliver (79+79')

Moxon (37'), Barclay (56'), Armer (90+5')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 3pm
gameweek 46
Bradford
2-0
Carlisle
Angol (13'), Walker (69')
Cooke (79')

Whelan (56'), Armer (67'), Dickenson (80'), Omotoye (86')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
gameweek 22
Carlisle
2-0
Bradford
Gibson (45'), Patrick (87')

Songo'o (64'), Angol (90+1'), Watt (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeyton Orient462613761342791
4Stockport CountyStockport4622131165372879
6Bradford CityBradford4620161061431876
7Salford City462291572541875
8Mansfield TownMansfield4621121372551775
9BarrowBarrow46188204753-662
10Swindon TownSwindon461613176155661
11Grimsby Town461613174956-761
12Tranmere RoversTranmere461513184548-358
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461416164860-1258
14Sutton UnitedSutton461513184658-1258
15Newport CountyNewport461415175356-357
16Walsall461219154649-355
17Gillingham461413193649-1355
18Doncaster RoversDoncaster46167234665-1955
19Harrogate TownHarrogate461216185968-952
20Colchester UnitedColchester461213214451-749
21AFC Wimbledon461115204860-1248
22Crawley TownCrawley461113224871-2346
RHartlepool UnitedHartlepool46916215278-2643
RRochdale46911264670-2438

Real Madrid Until The End
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