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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Stockport County |
31.36% ( -0.01) | 28.17% ( -0.04) | 40.47% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 46.57% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.57% ( 0.15) | 59.43% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.2% ( 0.12) | 79.8% ( -0.12) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.38% ( 0.07) | 34.61% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.66% ( 0.08) | 71.34% ( -0.08) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.22% ( 0.11) | 28.78% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.38% ( 0.13) | 64.62% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Stockport County |
1-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 31.36% | 1-1 @ 13.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.73% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.66% Total : 40.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leyton Orient | 46 | 26 | 13 | 7 | 61 | 34 | 27 | 91 |
P | Stevenage | 46 | 24 | 13 | 9 | 61 | 39 | 22 | 85 |
P | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 83 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 22 | 13 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 79 |
P | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 76 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Salford City | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 72 | 54 | 18 | 75 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 72 | 55 | 17 | 75 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 62 |
10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 61 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 61 |
12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 58 |
13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 58 |
14 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 58 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 57 |
16 | Walsall | 46 | 12 | 19 | 15 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 55 |
17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 55 |
18 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 55 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 52 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 49 |
21 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 11 | 15 | 20 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 46 |
R | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 52 | 78 | -26 | 43 |
R | Rochdale | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 46 | 70 | -24 | 38 |
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