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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Mansfield Town |
43.15% ( -0.23) | 27.37% ( -0.04) | 29.47% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 48.06% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.82% ( 0.25) | 57.18% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.96% ( 0.2) | 78.04% ( -0.2) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.74% ( 0) | 26.25% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.63% | 61.37% ( 0) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.17% ( 0.34) | 34.83% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.43% ( 0.36) | 71.56% ( -0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Mansfield Town |
1-0 @ 12.22% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 43.14% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 9.65% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.16% Total : 29.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leyton Orient | 42 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 56 | 29 | 27 | 84 |
2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 43 | 21 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 77 |
3 | Stevenage | 42 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 76 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 60 | 36 | 24 | 72 |
5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 43 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 72 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 71 |
7 | Salford City | 43 | 20 | 9 | 14 | 66 | 49 | 17 | 69 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 42 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 67 | 51 | 16 | 69 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 43 | 18 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 62 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 43 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 43 | 49 | -6 | 57 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 55 |
12 | Grimsby Town | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 55 |
13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 43 | 14 | 12 | 17 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 54 |
14 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 43 | 15 | 7 | 21 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 52 |
15 | Walsall | 43 | 11 | 18 | 14 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 51 |
16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 41 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 51 |
17 | Gillingham | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 51 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 50 |
19 | AFC Wimbledon | 43 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 47 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 43 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 46 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 42 | 10 | 15 | 17 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 45 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 43 | 10 | 12 | 21 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 42 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 43 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 48 | 74 | -26 | 39 |
24 | Rochdale | 43 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 41 | 67 | -26 | 34 |
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