Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fenerbahce in this match.