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Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK at Crown Oil Arena
League Two | Gameweek 21
Rochdale
1 - 2
Stockport
Rodney (85')
Lloyd (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Collar (56' pen., 58')
Knoyle (19')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rochdale 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Stevenage
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Rochdale 0-3 Stockport County

When it rains, it pours, and it is difficult to see how Rochdale can overcome the high-flying Stockport, even on home turf this Saturday. Stockport will be looking to bombard the Rochdale box, with Madden and Wootton hoping to overload the Dale's defenders with their physical presence. Collar may be a strong contender to score for the third successive game from midfield. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 21.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawStockport County
21.71% (-1.354 -1.35) 25.34% (-0.588 -0.59) 52.95% (1.94 1.94)
Both teams to score 47.21% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.04% (0.907 0.91)54.96% (-0.91 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.76% (0.744 0.74)76.24% (-0.74600000000001 -0.75)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.59% (-0.823 -0.82)40.41% (0.822 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.97% (-0.754 -0.75)77.03% (0.752 0.75)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (1.187 1.19)20.77% (-1.189 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.58% (1.836 1.84)53.42% (-1.837 -1.84)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 21.71%
    Stockport County 52.94%
    Draw 25.34%
RochdaleDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 7.61% (-0.451 -0.45)
2-1 @ 5.42% (-0.243 -0.24)
2-0 @ 3.45% (-0.287 -0.29)
3-1 @ 1.64% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.04% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 21.71%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-0 @ 8.4% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 13.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.36% (0.37 0.37)
1-2 @ 9.39% (0.136 0.14)
0-3 @ 5.43% (0.383 0.38)
1-3 @ 4.92% (0.243 0.24)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.062 0.06)
0-4 @ 2.13% (0.221 0.22)
1-4 @ 1.93% (0.161 0.16)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 52.94%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Stockport

Rochdale
21.2%
Draw
6.1%
Stockport County
72.7%
33
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
First Round
Rochdale
1-2
Stockport
Lund (22')
Jennings (7'), Reid (14')
Mar 11, 2008 3pm
Nov 6, 2007 3pm
Rochdale
1-2
Stockport
Le Fondre (69' pen.)
Kennedy (37'), McArdle (75')
Dickinson (28', 53')
Tierney (35'), Taylor (37')
Mar 24, 2007 3pm
Stockport
2-7
Rochdale
Dickinson (35'), Elding (32')
Nolan (13'), Taylor (51')
Goodall (11'), Rundle (15' pen.), Muirhead (17', 46'), Murray (4', 53')
Crooks (56')
Oct 28, 2006 3pm
Rochdale
1-3
Stockport
Jones (53' pen.)
Stanton (40'), Goodall (57'), Sako (75')
Williams (19'), Robinson (45' pen.), Bramble (80')
Taylor (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeyton Orient432512658292987
2Northampton TownNorthampton442214860402080
3Stevenage432113957391876
4Stockport CountyStockport4421121161362575
5Carlisle UnitedCarlisle442015963392475
6Salford City442191469511872
7Bradford CityBradford431915956381872
8Mansfield TownMansfield4320121168511772
9BarrowBarrow44188184649-362
10Swindon TownSwindon431513155851758
11Tranmere RoversTranmere441512174446-257
12Sutton UnitedSutton441512174453-957
13Grimsby Town431413164654-855
14Newport CountyNewport431314164750-353
15Gillingham441313183447-1352
16Doncaster RoversDoncaster44157224463-1952
17Walsall441118154448-451
18Crewe AlexandraCrewe421215154153-1251
19Colchester UnitedColchester441213194448-449
20AFC Wimbledon441114194758-1147
21Harrogate TownHarrogate431015185364-1145
22Crawley TownCrawley441112214769-2245
23Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool44815214876-2839
RRochdale44810264168-2734

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