Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Stockport County |
21.71% ( -1.35) | 25.34% ( -0.59) | 52.95% ( 1.94) |
Both teams to score 47.21% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.04% ( 0.91) | 54.96% ( -0.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.76% ( 0.74) | 76.24% ( -0.75) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.59% ( -0.82) | 40.41% ( 0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.97% ( -0.75) | 77.03% ( 0.75) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.23% ( 1.19) | 20.77% ( -1.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.58% ( 1.84) | 53.42% ( -1.84) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Stockport County |
1-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.29% Total : 21.71% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.36% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 5.43% ( 0.38) 1-3 @ 4.92% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.22) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.35% Total : 52.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leyton Orient | 43 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 29 | 29 | 87 |
2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 44 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 60 | 40 | 20 | 80 |
3 | Stevenage | 43 | 21 | 13 | 9 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 76 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 75 |
5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 44 | 20 | 15 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 75 |
6 | Salford City | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 69 | 51 | 18 | 72 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 72 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 72 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 44 | 18 | 8 | 18 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 62 |
10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 58 |
11 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 57 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 57 |
13 | Grimsby Town | 43 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 55 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 53 |
15 | Gillingham | 44 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 52 |
16 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 44 | 15 | 7 | 22 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 52 |
17 | Walsall | 44 | 11 | 18 | 15 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 51 |
18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 51 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 44 | 12 | 13 | 19 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 49 |
20 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 47 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 43 | 10 | 15 | 18 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 45 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 44 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 45 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 44 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 48 | 76 | -28 | 39 |
R | Rochdale | 44 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 34 |
> Full Version |