Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-0 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
20.93% ( -0) | 25.17% ( 0.02) | 53.9% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 46.67% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.85% ( -0.06) | 55.14% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.61% ( -0.05) | 76.39% ( 0.05) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.67% ( -0.03) | 41.33% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.15% ( -0.03) | 77.85% ( 0.03) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.54% ( -0.03) | 20.46% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.08% ( -0.05) | 52.92% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.24% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.3% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) 3-0 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.18% Total : 20.93% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 13.41% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.63% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.23% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0) Other @ 3.42% Total : 53.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |