Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Villarreal |
31.11% ( 0.39) | 24.99% ( 0.32) | 43.91% ( -0.71) |
Both teams to score 56.3% ( -0.89) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.11% ( -1.26) | 46.9% ( 1.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.85% ( -1.19) | 69.15% ( 1.19) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.62% ( -0.37) | 28.38% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.88% ( -0.46) | 64.13% ( 0.47) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.62% ( -0.84) | 21.38% ( 0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.64% ( -1.31) | 54.37% ( 1.31) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 31.11% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.53% Total : 43.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |