Southport 1-3 Kidderminster Harriers - National League North - April 22, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Southport had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.

Result
Southport	Draw	Kidderminster Harriers
26.87% ( -0.04)	26.71% ( 0)	46.42% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 48.36% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.98% (

-0.02)

56.02% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.89% (

-0.02)

77.1% (

0.02)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.72% (

-0.05)

36.27% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.94% (

-0.05)

73.06% (

0.04)

Kidderminster Harriers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.89% (

0.01)

24.11% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.59% (

0.01)

58.41% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Southport 26.87%

Kidderminster Harriers 46.42%

Draw 26.71%

Southport	Draw	Kidderminster Harriers
1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 26.87%	1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.71%	0-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.26% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 46.42%