Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 49.8%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 24.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 1-0 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Dundee |
24.29% ( 0.06) | 25.91% ( 0.02) | 49.8% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 48.44% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.19% ( -0.03) | 54.81% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.88% ( -0.02) | 76.11% ( 0.02) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.14% ( 0.04) | 37.85% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.37% ( 0.04) | 74.63% ( -0.04) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.95% ( -0.04) | 22.05% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.61% ( -0.06) | 55.38% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Dundee |
1-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.93% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 1.63% Total : 24.29% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.54% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 49.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 66 | 40 | 26 | 63 |
2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 63 | 52 | 11 | 58 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 45 | 20 | 57 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 57 |
6 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 43 |
8 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 34 |
9 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 31 |
10 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 31 |
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