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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 51.84%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 24.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-0 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Ipswich Town |
24.38% ( 0.03) | 23.78% ( 0) | 51.84% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.06% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.86% ( 0.02) | 46.14% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.56% ( 0.02) | 68.43% ( -0.02) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.97% ( 0.04) | 33.02% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.39% ( 0.04) | 69.61% ( -0.04) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.2% ( -0) | 17.79% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.48% ( -0.01) | 48.51% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Ipswich Town |
1-0 @ 6.51% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.61% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 24.38% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.76% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.41% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.17% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 3.61% Total : 51.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 31 | 8 | 7 | 82 | 47 | 35 | 101 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 101 | 35 | 66 | 98 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 81 | 37 | 44 | 96 |
4 | Barnsley | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 80 | 47 | 33 | 86 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 62 | 36 | 26 | 81 |
6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 24 | 5 | 17 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 67 | 46 | 21 | 76 |
8 | Portsmouth | 46 | 17 | 19 | 10 | 61 | 50 | 11 | 70 |
9 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 69 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 70 | 66 | 4 | 62 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 14 | 20 | 12 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 62 |
12 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 17 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 59 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 58 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 56 |
15 | Burton Albion | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 57 | 79 | -22 | 56 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 54 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 73 | -15 | 53 |
18 | Port Vale | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 49 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 |
20 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 46 |
R | MK Dons | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 44 | 66 | -22 | 45 |
R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 14 | 22 | 47 | 78 | -31 | 44 |
R | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 40 | 77 | -37 | 44 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 31 | 89 | -58 | 27 |
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