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League One | Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Ipswich logo
Derby
0 - 2
Ipswich

Cashin (3'), McGoldrick (23'), Smith (60'), White (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Chaplin (17'), Hirst (76')
Clarke (41'), Walton (51'), Burns (90+1')
Coverage of the League One clash between Derby County and Ipswich Town.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Derby
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 2-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawIpswich Town
33.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.5% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 41.02% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.44% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (0.049000000000007 0.05)48.41% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.45% (0.044 0.04)70.55% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.39% (0.019000000000005 0.02)27.61% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.86% (0.027999999999999 0.03)63.14% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59% (0.025999999999996 0.03)23.41% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.6% (0.042999999999999 0.04)57.4% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 33.48%
    Ipswich Town 41.02%
    Draw 25.5%
Derby CountyDrawIpswich Town
1-0 @ 8.32% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.77%
2-0 @ 5.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 33.48%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 9.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.81% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.02%

How you voted: Derby vs Ipswich

Derby County
0.0%
Draw
9.1%
Ipswich Town
90.9%
11
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2022 8pm
Feb 13, 2019 7.45pm
Ipswich
1-1
Derby
Nolan (55')
Bishop (57'), Chalobah (63'), Pennington (94')
Lawrence (2')
Waghorn (21'), Holmes (57'), Bennett (85'), Johnson (94')
Aug 21, 2018 7.45pm
Derby
2-0
Ipswich
Ledley (59'), Lawrence (68')
Bryson (16'), Keogh (42')

Skuse (47'), Nsiala (67')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Ipswich
1-2
Derby
Garner (65')
Webster (43')
Winnall (13', 48')
Nov 28, 2017 7.45pm
Derby
0-1
Ipswich

Lawrence (33'), Russell (90'), Baird (90')
Connolly (5')
Chambers (58'), Webster (64'), Downes (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds452712680374393
4Barnsley452681180453586
5Bolton WanderersBolton4522121159342578
6Derby CountyDerby4521131167452276
7Peterborough UnitedPeterborough452351773541974
8Portsmouth4517181059481169
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe45208175749868
10Charlton AthleticCharlton451613166864461
11Lincoln CityLincoln451320124647-159
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood451415165149257
13Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury44168205059-956
14Exeter CityExeter451411206166-553
15Bristol Rovers441411195568-1353
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham451411204359-1653
17Burton Albion441410205679-2352
18Port Vale451310224768-2149
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451114204854-647
20MK Dons451111234466-2244
21Morecambe451014214575-3044
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge44127253967-2843
23Accrington StanleyAccrington451011243876-3841
RForest Green RoversForest Green4569303187-5627

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