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Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK at Pride Park Stadium
Derby
0 - 2
Fleetwood

Davies (45+3'), Knight (74')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Wildsmith (11' og.), Mendes Gomes (30')
Ndaba (50'), Warrington (57'), Stockley (74')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Derby County and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-3 Derby
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Derby County 2-0 Fleetwood Town

Derby have one of the best home records in the division this season, picking up 12 wins from their 18 games at Pride Park, so we think they will have enough quality to win this game. In contrast, Fleetwood have struggled to find the back of the net in recent weeks, and the Rams have only lost twice on their home patch this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 77.36%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 7.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.84%) and 3-0 (11.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawFleetwood Town
77.36% (0.0040000000000049 0) 15.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0) 7.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 38.85% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.45% (0.030999999999999 0.03)44.54% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.09% (0.027999999999999 0.03)66.91% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)9.63% (-0.0071000000000012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.83% (0.019999999999996 0.02)32.17% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.99% (0.027000000000001 0.03)57.01% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.95% (0.016 0.02)89.05% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 77.34%
    Fleetwood Town 7.18%
    Draw 15.46%
Derby CountyDrawFleetwood Town
2-0 @ 15.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 12.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 11.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 6.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.86% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 3.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.81% (0.002 0)
6-0 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 77.34%
1-1 @ 7.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.37% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 15.46%
0-1 @ 3.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 7.18%

How you voted: Derby vs Fleetwood

Derby County
86.4%
Draw
9.1%
Fleetwood Town
4.5%
22
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth42278773452889
2Ipswich TownIpswich422513487335488
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds432512675363987
4Barnsley422571074383682
5Peterborough UnitedPeterborough432341673512273
6Bolton WanderersBolton4220121056332372
7Derby CountyDerby4320121165442172
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe432081557441368
9Portsmouth4316171057471065
10Charlton AthleticCharlton431513156359458
11Lincoln CityLincoln421220104243-156
12Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury42168185055-556
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood431315155047354
14Exeter CityExeter431411186058253
15Bristol Rovers411410175564-952
16Burton Albion411310185577-2249
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham421211193754-1747
18Port Vale431210214365-2246
19MK Dons431110224061-2143
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd42914194152-1141
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge42117243663-2740
22Morecambe43814213971-3238
23Accrington StanleyAccrington42911223673-3738
RForest Green RoversForest Green4369283081-5127

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