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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 63.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Hull City |
63.66% ( -0.79) | 20.24% ( 0.26) | 16.1% ( 0.53) |
Both teams to score 53.26% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.06% ( -0.16) | 41.94% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.65% ( -0.16) | 64.34% ( 0.16) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.48% ( -0.27) | 12.51% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.47% ( -0.56) | 38.52% ( 0.56) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.88% ( 0.57) | 39.12% ( -0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.16% ( 0.54) | 75.83% ( -0.54) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Hull City |
2-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.44% Total : 63.65% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.24% | 0-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.01% Total : 16.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 70 | 28 | 42 | 82 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 82 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 80 | 49 | 31 | 81 |
4 | Southampton | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 73 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 66 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 61 |
7 | Hull City | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 58 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 57 |
9 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 56 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 54 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 53 |
12 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
13 | Watford | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 46 |
16 | Millwall | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 43 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 41 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 41 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 40 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 61 | -31 | 38 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 77 | -47 | 20 |
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