Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Monaco |
41.93% ( -0.47) | 25.34% ( 0.03) | 32.73% ( 0.44) |
Both teams to score 55.76% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.11% ( -0.01) | 47.89% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.93% ( -0) | 70.07% ( 0) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.27% ( -0.23) | 22.74% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.59% ( -0.34) | 56.41% ( 0.34) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.17% ( 0.27) | 27.83% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.58% ( 0.35) | 63.42% ( -0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 41.93% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |