Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Lens had a probability of 20.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Lens win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Monaco |
20.26% | 21.49% | 58.24% |
Both teams to score 57.15% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.27% | 40.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.89% | 63.11% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.24% | 33.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.58% | 70.42% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.28% | 13.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.02% | 40.97% |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Monaco |
2-1 @ 5.43% 1-0 @ 5.03% 2-0 @ 2.73% 3-1 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.95% 3-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.17% Total : 20.26% | 1-1 @ 9.99% 2-2 @ 5.39% 0-0 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.49% | 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-1 @ 9.2% 0-2 @ 9.14% 1-3 @ 6.57% 0-3 @ 6.05% 2-3 @ 3.57% 1-4 @ 3.26% 0-4 @ 3% 2-4 @ 1.77% 1-5 @ 1.3% 0-5 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.27% Total : 58.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 75 | 31 | 44 | 75 |
2 | Marseille | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 57 | 30 | 27 | 64 |
3 | Lens | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 63 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 61 |
5 | Lille | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 56 |
6 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 53 |
7 | Lyon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 50 |
8 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 47 |
9 | Nice | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 45 |
10 | Lorient | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 45 |
11 | Clermont | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 43 |
12 | Toulouse | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 37 |
14 | Auxerre | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 33 |
15 | NantesNantes | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
16 | Brest | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
17 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Troyes | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 21 |
19 | Ajaccio | 31 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 22 | 58 | -36 | 21 |
R | Angers | 32 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 68 | -43 | 14 |
> Full Version |