MX23RW : Thursday, May 18 05:50:45| >> :600:1055818:1055818:
Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 22, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Wheatsheaf Park
Chelsea Women
0 - 1
Barcelona

Kerr (37'), James (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Graham Hansen (4')
Pilar Leon (41'), Walsh (63'), Panos (90+3')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Champions League clash between Chelsea Women and Barcelona Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 5-1 Roma
Wednesday, March 29 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Chelsea Women 1-1 Barcelona Women

Chelsea have not lost a competitive home game since March 2022, while Barcelona have only suffered one competitive defeat all season. With both teams proving tough to beat, we think a cagey encounter will produce a draw, which would leave the tie finely poised ahead of the second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 64.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 16.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 1-3 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Chelsea Women win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawBarcelona Women
16.59% (0.069000000000003 0.07) 18.45% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 64.96% (-0.116 -0.12)
Both teams to score 61.1% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.67% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)32.33% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.05% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)53.95% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.44% (0.017999999999986 0.02)32.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.91% (0.018000000000001 0.02)69.09% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Barcelona Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.6% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)9.4% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.38% (-0.12700000000001 -0.13)31.62% (0.129 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 16.59%
    Barcelona Women 64.96%
    Draw 18.45%
Chelsea WomenDrawBarcelona Women
2-1 @ 4.56% (0.017 0.02)
1-0 @ 3.43% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.004 0)
2-0 @ 1.93% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.7% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 16.59%
1-1 @ 8.12% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.06% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 18.45%
1-2 @ 9.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 7.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.24% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.74% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 4.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 3.99% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.89% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.19% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 64.96%

How you voted: Chelsea Women vs Barcelona

Chelsea Women
25.0%
Draw
16.7%
Barcelona Women
58.3%
12
Head to Head
May 16, 2021 8pm
Final
Chelsea Women
0-4
Barcelona

Ingle (38')
Leupolz (1' og.), Putellas (14' pen.), Bonmati (21'), Graham Hansen (36')
Ouahabi (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City35274492316185
2Arsenal36256583424181
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351812563313266
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd35206951411066
5Liverpool36198970422865
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341771066452158
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs36176136559657
8Aston Villa36176134844457
9Brentford36131495445953
10Fulham36156155249351
11Chelsea351110143641-543
12Crystal Palace361110153746-943
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36117183052-2240
14Bournemouth36116193769-3239
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham36107193852-1437
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest36810183667-3134
17Everton36711183256-2432
18Leeds UnitedLeeds36710194671-2531
19Leicester CityLeicester3686224967-1830
RSouthampton3666243166-3524

Ted Lasso creative

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!