Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 83.18%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Roma Women had a probability of 5.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.15%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.46%), while for a Roma Women win it was 0-1 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.