Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominica win with a probability of 84.04%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for British Virgin Islands had a probability of 4.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dominica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.02%) and 1-0 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.33%), while for a British Virgin Islands win it was 0-1 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.