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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 12
Oct 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Seaview
Crusaders
1 - 0
Ballymena
Lecky (45')
Anderson (61'), Robinson (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McCullough (76')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Ballymena United.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larne 1-1 Crusaders
Friday, October 6 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-2 Newry City AFC
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 69.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 11.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawBallymena United
69.07% (-0.646 -0.65) 19.17% (0.369 0.37) 11.75% (0.274 0.27)
Both teams to score 45.04% (-0.301 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (-0.892 -0.89)46.75% (0.892 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.98% (-0.841 -0.84)69.01% (0.84 0.84)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.58% (-0.44200000000001 -0.44)12.42% (0.441 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.67% (-0.92899999999999 -0.93)38.33% (0.927 0.93)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.43% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)48.56% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.36% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)83.64% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 69.07%
    Ballymena United 11.75%
    Draw 19.17%
CrusadersDrawBallymena United
2-0 @ 13.12% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 12.58% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.12% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-0 @ 4.76% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-1 @ 3.44% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.99% (-0.097 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 69.07%
1-1 @ 9.09% (0.164 0.16)
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.224 0.22)
2-2 @ 3.42% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 19.17%
0-1 @ 4.36% (0.152 0.15)
1-2 @ 3.28% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.57% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 11.75%

Head to Head
Aug 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Ballymena
1-2
Crusaders
Strain (90+7')
McGuigan (31'), Whiteside (79')
Coates (60')
Lecky (16'), O'Rourke (29')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Nov 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Crusaders
0-1
Ballymena
Nelson (80')
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Crusaders
3-0
Ballymena
Lowry (29'), O'Rourke (33'), Forsythe (82')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Crusaders
2-1
Ballymena
Lowry (9'), McMurray (65')
Forsythe (36')
Strain (52')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield14121136142237
2CliftonvilleCliftonville149233172429
3LarneLarne1485129101929
4CrusadersCrusaders1484233122128
5GlentoranGlentoran1473424141024
6ColeraineColeraine146262026-620
7Loughgall145362127-618
8Carrick RangersCarrick144191737-2013
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena143110921-1210
10GlenavonGlenavon1431101432-1810
11Newry City AFC1431101537-2210
12Dungannon SwiftsDungannon141671729-129

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