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La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Real Sociedad logo
Rayo Vallecano
2 - 2
Real Sociedad
Mumin (31'), Bebe (90+1')
Lejeune (13'), Garcia (65'), Bebe (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Oyarzabal (41', 66' pen.)
Turrientes (72'), Zubeldia (74')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 0-1 Real Sociedad
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Real Sociedad

These are the type of matches that Real Sociedad will need to win if they are to finish in the top four this season, but Rayo are not losing games at the moment, and we are struggling to back the visitors considering their exertions in the Champions League. A draw would not be the worst result for Real Sociedad, and we are expecting the points to be shared here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawReal Sociedad
30.87% (-0.998 -1) 27.2% (-0.373 -0.37) 41.93% (1.366 1.37)
Both teams to score 49.18% (0.73999999999999 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.95% (1.106 1.11)56.04% (-1.11 -1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.87% (0.889 0.89)77.12% (-0.893 -0.89)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.81% (-0.13799999999999 -0.14)33.19% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.2% (-0.148 -0.15)69.8% (0.145 0.14)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.62% (1.256 1.26)26.37% (-1.26 -1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.47% (1.646 1.65)61.53% (-1.651 -1.65)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 30.87%
    Real Sociedad 41.92%
    Draw 27.19%
Rayo VallecanoDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 9.66% (-0.455 -0.46)
2-1 @ 7.1% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.32% (-0.272 -0.27)
3-1 @ 2.61% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.96% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 30.87%
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 8.75% (-0.381 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.19%
0-1 @ 11.66% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.58% (0.212 0.21)
0-2 @ 7.78% (0.22 0.22)
1-3 @ 3.81% (0.224 0.22)
0-3 @ 3.45% (0.215 0.22)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.117 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.116 0.12)
0-4 @ 1.15% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 41.92%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad

Rayo Vallecano
12.5%
Draw
25.0%
Real Sociedad
62.5%
56
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Real Sociedad
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
Sorloth (59'), Lejeune (81' og.)
Isi (57')
Jan 21, 2023 1pm
May 1, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 34
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Real Sociedad
Falcao (77')
Lopez (56'), Valentin (73')
Sorloth (33')
Zubeldia (38')
Aug 22, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 2
Real Sociedad
1-0
Rayo Vallecano
Oyarzabal (68' pen.)
Isak (86'), Pacheco Dozagarat (90'), Le Normand (90+5')

Trejo (26'), Comesana (55'), Balliu (66'), Garcia (90+1'), Iraola (90+2')
Jan 20, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 20
Rayo Vallecano
2-2
Real Sociedad
Comesana (22'), Embarba (28')
Velazquez (76'), Dimitrievski (88')
Moreno (39'), Jose (82')
Llorente (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GironaGirona20154146242249
2Real Madrid19153140112948
3Athletic Bilbao20125338201841
4Barcelona19125236221441
5Atletico MadridAtletico19122539231638
6Real Sociedad2088431211032
7Real BetisBetis2071032220231
8Valencia208572624229
9Las PalmasLas Palmas208481917228
10Getafe196852425-126
11Rayo Vallecano195861824-623
12Osasuna196492229-722
13AlavesAlaves2055101827-920
14Mallorca2031071824-619
15Villarreal2054112741-1419
16Celta Vigo203892130-917
17Sevilla2037102530-516
18CadizCadiz202991530-1515
19Granada2025132241-1911
20Almeria2006141943-246

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