Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Sociedad in this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
50.36% | 24.09% | 25.55% |
Both teams to score 55.26% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.56% | 46.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.28% | 68.72% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.52% | 18.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.31% | 49.68% |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.79% | 32.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.29% | 68.7% |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.61% 2-0 @ 8.49% 3-1 @ 5.41% 3-0 @ 4.78% 3-2 @ 3.06% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.36% Total : 50.35% | 1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 5.95% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.09% | 0-1 @ 6.74% 1-2 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 3.82% 1-3 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.61% Total : 25.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 15 | 28 |
2 | GironaGirona | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 28 |
3 | Barcelona | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 15 | 22 |
5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 18 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 17 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 16 |
8 | Valencia | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 14 |
10 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 14 |
11 | Osasuna | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Getafe | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
13 | Sevilla | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 10 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10 |
15 | Villarreal | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 9 |
16 | Mallorca | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 9 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
18 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 6 |
19 | Granada | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 6 |
20 | Almeria | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 31 | -17 | 3 |
> La Liga Full Table |