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Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Oct 29, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca
3 - 1
Atletico San Luis
Villegas (18'), Angulo (69', 90+3')
Baeza (52'), Angulo (61'), Villegas (65'), Venegas (85'), Violante (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zaldivar (83')
Murillo (16'), Dourado (31')
Dourado (45+2')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Atletico San Luis.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Club Leon 1-0 Toluca
Sunday, October 22 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 3-2 Atletico San Luis
Thursday, October 26 at 4.06am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 54.96%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 23.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawAtletico San Luis
54.96% (-0.553 -0.55) 21.28% (0.175 0.17) 23.75% (0.375 0.38)
Both teams to score 63.06% (-0.154 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.76% (-0.41199999999999 -0.41)35.24% (0.41 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.74% (-0.458 -0.46)57.25% (0.455 0.45)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.09% (-0.29900000000001 -0.3)12.9% (0.296 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.67% (-0.614 -0.61)39.32% (0.611 0.61)
Atletico San Luis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.4% (0.069000000000003 0.07)27.59% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.88% (0.091000000000001 0.09)63.11% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 54.96%
    Atletico San Luis 23.75%
    Draw 21.28%
TolucaDrawAtletico San Luis
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.09% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 4.22% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.36% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.16% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.38% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-3 @ 0.93% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 54.96%
1-1 @ 9.39% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.19% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.56% (0.073 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.28%
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.079999999999999 0.08)
0-1 @ 4.58% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.95% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 23.75%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 6pm
Aug 21, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 10
Atletico San Luis
1-0
Toluca
Murillo (45+3')
Gonzalez (61'), (90+6')

Sierra (65')
Feb 12, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 5
Atletico San Luis
0-1
Toluca

Juarez (3'), Waller (45+5')
Sanvezzo (4')
Garcia (13')
Rigonato Rodrigues (45+4')
Sep 26, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 10
Toluca
1-2
Atletico San Luis
Gonzalez (45' pen.)
Rigonato Rodrigues (45+3'), Torres (88'), Chavez (90+1')
Berterame (24' pen., 39')
Lozano (20'), Waller (90+4')
Mar 6, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 9
Atletico San Luis
0-0
Toluca
Chavez (45+1')
Barbieri (35'), Baeza (59'), Castaneda (63')
rhs 2.0
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9.30pm
Browns
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Texans
Result
Draper
Lehecka
6 4 3
4 6 6
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Club AmericaAmerica17124137142340
2MonterreyMonterrey17103427151233
3Tigres1786332181430
4PumasPumas178452718928
5CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara178362222027
6Atletico San Luis177283126523
7Club TijuanaTijuana177282423123
8Club Leon176562322123
9Santos LagunaSantos Laguna177283134-323
10MazatlanMazatlan176472527-222
11PueblaPuebla176472126-522
12PachucaPachuca175751627-1122
13TolucaToluca175662319421
14QueretaroQueretaro175481829-1119
15Juarez175392434-1018
16Cruz AzulCruz Azul1752102129-817
17Atlas174581424-1017
18NecaxaNecaxa173681827-915

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