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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stoke City in this match.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Stoke City |
23.3% ( 0.09) | 24.6% ( 0.08) | 52.1% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 51.25% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.41% ( -0.23) | 50.59% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.49% ( -0.21) | 72.51% ( 0.21) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.58% ( -0.05) | 36.42% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.79% ( -0.05) | 73.21% ( 0.06) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.6% ( -0.15) | 19.4% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.79% ( -0.25) | 51.21% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 23.3% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.5% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.25% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.2% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 52.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 70 | 28 | 42 | 82 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 82 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 80 | 49 | 31 | 81 |
4 | Southampton | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 73 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 66 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 61 |
7 | Hull City | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 58 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 57 |
9 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 56 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 54 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 53 |
12 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
13 | Watford | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 46 |
16 | Millwall | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 43 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 41 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 41 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 40 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 61 | -31 | 38 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 77 | -47 | 20 |
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