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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Stoke logo

Rotherham
0 - 1
Stoke


Eaves (86'), Cafu (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Baker (45+4')
Burger (78'), Pearson (90+4'), Thompson (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Rotherham United 1-1 Stoke City

Rotherham have been a tough nut to crack at the New York Stadium this season, and we are expecting another resolute home display from the Millers as they scrap for survival. Stoke have been much improved since Schumacher replaced Neil last month, but we feel that the Potters will have to settle for a third-straight draw in the Championship this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stoke City in this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawStoke City
23.3% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 24.6% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 52.1% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 51.25% (-0.139 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.41% (-0.231 -0.23)50.59% (0.23500000000001 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.49% (-0.207 -0.21)72.51% (0.211 0.21)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.58% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)36.42% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)73.21% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (-0.152 -0.15)19.4% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.79% (-0.252 -0.25)51.21% (0.256 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 23.3%
    Stoke City 52.09%
    Draw 24.6%
Rotherham UnitedDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 7.14% (0.058 0.06)
2-1 @ 5.91% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.6% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 23.3%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.06% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 11.58% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.6% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 5.25% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.2% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 52.09%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Stoke

Rotherham United
28.6%
Draw
23.8%
Stoke City
47.6%
21
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Stoke
6-1
Rotherham
Burger (2'), Mmaee (18'), Laurent (29', 55'), Campbell (43'), Leris (72')
Wilmot (47')
Morrison (22')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Stoke
4-1
Rotherham
Hoever (5'), Vidigal (45+3', 45+8'), Brown (90')
Brown (30'), Pearson (45+2'), Johnson (74'), Laurent (88'), Thompson (90+5')
Peltier (46')
Bramall (25'), Odofin (28'), Morrison (45+2'), Cafu (52')
Cafu (69')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 24
Rotherham
2-2
Stoke
Thompson (45' og.), Washington (71')
Campbell (61'), Peltier (80' og.)
Oct 18, 2022 8pm
Jan 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Rotherham
3-3
Stoke
Crooks (31', 67'), Smith (51')
Crooks (81'), Olosunde (90+1')
MacDonald (14' og.), Batth (62'), Powell (75')
Batth (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds38257670284282
2Leicester CityLeicester37264774334182
3Ipswich TownIpswich38249580493181
4Southampton36227773472673
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381991059362366
6Norwich CityNorwich381871369541561
7Hull City371610115346758
8Coventry CityCoventry3715121059431657
9Preston North EndPreston37168134954-556
10Middlesbrough38166165352154
11Cardiff CityCardiff38165174351-853
12Sunderland38146184845348
13Watford381212145351248
14Bristol City38138174245-347
15Swansea CitySwansea381210164858-1046
16Millwall381110173650-1443
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn38119185164-1342
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth381011175462-841
19Stoke CityStoke38118193553-1841
20Queens Park RangersQPR381010183650-1440
21Birmingham CityBirmingham38109194259-1739
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield38815154261-1939
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38115223061-3138
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham38311243077-4720

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