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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Swansea logo

Stoke
1 - 1
Swansea

Johnson (70' pen.)
Laurent (38'), Gooch (42'), Pearson (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Darling (89')
Cabango (41'), Bolasie (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Swansea City

Stoke have been very poor of late but have the chance to put things right quickly in front of their home supporters against a Swansea side who are also without permanent management. There was a real embrace between the players and the Swans faithful following the win at Rotherham, and we feel that the slight feel-good factor under Sheehan could help them to a point on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSwansea City
38.13% (0.158 0.16) 25.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 36.48% (-0.158 -0.16)
Both teams to score 56.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.57% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)47.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.35% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)69.64%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.54% (0.085999999999999 0.09)24.46% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.09% (0.12 0.12)58.9% (-0.122 -0.12)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)25.37% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83% (-0.124 -0.12)60.16% (0.124 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 38.13%
    Swansea City 36.48%
    Draw 25.38%
Stoke CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 8.74% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.15% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.89% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 38.13%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.21%
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.84% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 36.48%

How you voted: Stoke vs Swansea

Stoke City
46.4%
Draw
17.9%
Swansea City
35.7%
28
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Laurent (15', 20'), Baker (90+4')
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Campbell (90+1')
Piroe (6')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Stoke
3-0
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (47'), Baker (59' pen.), Brown (78')
Wilmot (45'), Brown (85')

Christie (26'), Grimes (29'), Ntcham (31'), Wolf (85')
Bennett (58')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Piroe (73')
Powell (15'), Clucas (53'), Skiri Oestigaard (60')
Clucas (53'), Tymon (81')
Mar 3, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 34
Stoke
1-2
Swansea
Powell (6')
Roberts (19'), Ayew (90+5' pen.)
Manning (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds38257670284282
2Leicester CityLeicester37264774334182
3Ipswich TownIpswich38249580493181
4Southampton36227773472673
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381991059362366
6Norwich CityNorwich381871369541561
7Hull City371610115346758
8Coventry CityCoventry3715121059431657
9Preston North EndPreston37168134954-556
10Middlesbrough38166165352154
11Cardiff CityCardiff38165174351-853
12Sunderland38146184845348
13Watford381212145351248
14Bristol City38138174245-347
15Swansea CitySwansea381210164858-1046
16Millwall381110173650-1443
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn38119185164-1342
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth381011175462-841
19Stoke CityStoke38118193553-1841
20Queens Park RangersQPR381010183650-1440
21Birmingham CityBirmingham38109194259-1739
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield38815154261-1939
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38115223061-3138
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham38311243077-4720

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