Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.49%) and 3-1 (5.13%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Notts County |
41.96% ( -0) | 22.2% | 35.83% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 68.24% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.01% ( 0) | 31.99% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.45% ( 0) | 53.55% ( -0) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.91% ( -0) | 16.08% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.53% ( -0) | 45.47% ( 0) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.32% ( 0) | 18.68% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.98% ( 0) | 50.02% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 8.42% 1-0 @ 5.49% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.13% 2-0 @ 5.02% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.3% 3-0 @ 3.06% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.97% 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.76% Total : 41.96% | 1-1 @ 9.21% 2-2 @ 7.06% 0-0 @ 3% 3-3 @ 2.41% Other @ 0.52% Total : 22.2% | 1-2 @ 7.73% 0-1 @ 5.04% 1-3 @ 4.32% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 3.95% 0-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.81% 2-4 @ 1.66% 3-4 @ 1.01% 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Stockport CountyStockport | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 54 |
2 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 52 |
3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 50 |
4 | BarrowBarrow | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 49 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
6 | Notts County | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 60 | 52 | 8 | 43 |
7 | MK Dons | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 42 |
8 | Gillingham | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 41 |
9 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 40 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 39 |
11 | Crawley TownCrawley | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 39 |
12 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 |
13 | Walsall | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 36 |
14 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 35 |
15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Morecambe | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 34 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 34 |
18 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 33 |
19 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 28 |
20 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 28 |
21 | Salford City | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 27 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 25 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 19 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |