Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Toulouse |
38.49% ( 0.26) | 26.76% ( 0.05) | 34.75% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 51.57% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.51% ( -0.21) | 53.49% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.99% ( -0.18) | 75.01% ( 0.18) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.93% ( 0.05) | 27.07% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.56% ( 0.06) | 62.44% ( -0.06) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.71% ( -0.29) | 29.29% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.75% ( -0.36) | 65.25% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Toulouse |
1-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 38.48% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 62 | 23 | 39 | 59 |
2 | Brest | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 47 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 46 |
4 | Lille | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Nice | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 43 |
6 | Lens | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 42 |
7 | Marseille | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39 |
8 | Rennes | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 39 |
9 | Reims | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Lyon | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 34 |
11 | Toulouse | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 29 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 29 |
13 | Le HavreLe Havre | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 27 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 26 |
15 | Lorient | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 26 |
16 | NantesNantes | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 |
17 | Metz | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 23 |
18 | Clermont | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 20 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |