MX23RW : Wednesday, January 17 16:14:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Metz logo
Toulouse
3 - 0
Metz
Schmidt (31'), Dallinga (43'), Magri (82')
Nicolaisen (13'), Suazo (63'), Sierro (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 2-1 Toulouse
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, September 24 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 1-1 Metz

Draws have been commonplace in this fixture over the past several years, and while the two sides have not squared off since pre-COVID times, we can envisage a similar pattern continuing here. Toulouse have established themselves as the stalemate specialists at home, but Metz have developed an affinity for dogged defensive showings on the road, and both sides should leave with another point in the bag. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Metz had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawMetz
38.73% (-0.422 -0.42) 26.34% (0.145 0.15) 34.93% (0.277 0.28)
Both teams to score 52.95% (-0.44 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25% (-0.578 -0.58)51.75% (0.57700000000001 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (-0.503 -0.5)73.52% (0.50399999999999 0.5)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88% (-0.497 -0.5)26.12% (0.497 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.81% (-0.671 -0.67)61.19% (0.671 0.67)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)28.33% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.94% (-0.139 -0.14)64.06% (0.14 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 38.73%
    Metz 34.93%
    Draw 26.34%
ToulouseDrawMetz
1-0 @ 9.93% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.67% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 38.73%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 9.33% (0.185 0.19)
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.89% (0.099 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.48% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.93%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Metz

Toulouse
43.8%
Draw
43.8%
Metz
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2020 7pm
Sep 28, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 8
Metz
2-2
Toulouse
Diallo (4'), Niane (91' pen.)
Delaine (11')
Said (86'), Koulouris (95')
Gradel (95')
Mar 3, 2018 7pm
Metz
1-1
Toulouse
Roux (32')
Palmieri (42')
Amian (84')
Jean (18'), Moubandje (44'), Toivonen (87'), Durmaz (90')
Nov 18, 2017 7pm
Toulouse
0-0
Metz
Blin (39'), Amian Adou (72')
Niakhate (16'), Dossevi (41'), Roux (51')
Diagne (23')
May 14, 2017 8pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18134144143043
2Nice1810531911835
3Brest18104427151234
4MonacoMonaco1810353425933
5Lille1887324141031
6Reims189272524129
7Marseille187742619728
8Lens187562119226
9StrasbourgStrasbourg186661923-424
10Rennes185762522322
11Le HavreLe Havre185761920-122
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier184771923-418
13NantesNantes1853102030-1018
14Toulouse183871623-717
15Metz1844101628-1216
16Lyon1844101730-1316
17Clermont1835101327-1414
18Lorient1826102138-1712

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