Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Clermont |
41.88% ( 0.17) | 27.31% ( 0.25) | 30.8% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 48.83% ( -0.91) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.51% ( -1.08) | 56.48% ( 1.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.52% ( -0.88) | 77.48% ( 0.88) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.4% ( -0.41) | 26.6% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.17% ( -0.54) | 61.83% ( 0.54) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.53% ( -0.87) | 33.47% ( 0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.89% ( -0.96) | 70.1% ( 0.96) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 41.88% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 62 | 23 | 39 | 59 |
2 | Brest | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 47 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 46 |
4 | Lille | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Nice | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 43 |
6 | Lens | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 42 |
7 | Marseille | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39 |
8 | Rennes | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 39 |
9 | Reims | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Lyon | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 34 |
11 | Toulouse | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 29 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 29 |
13 | Le HavreLe Havre | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 27 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 26 |
15 | Lorient | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 26 |
16 | NantesNantes | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 |
17 | Metz | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 23 |
18 | Clermont | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 20 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |