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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 14, 2024 at 2pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Bologna logo

Cagliari
2 - 1
Bologna

Petagna (31'), Calafiori (69' og.)
Dossena (45+2'), Nandez (45+2'), Wieteska (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Orsolini (24')
Posch (3'), Calafiori (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Cagliari
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 0-0 Bologna

Bologna's recent struggles have been there for all to see, and while goals have been hard to come by at the best of times, Zirkzee's absence will only enhance this problem. Facing a side chasing the European places, any result will be a positive for Cagliari, who must now accept they are deep in a relegation battle, and the target will be to remain outside of the bottom three come the end of the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawBologna
46.01% (0.366 0.37) 26.24% (-0.012 -0.01) 27.75% (-0.347 -0.35)
Both teams to score 50.34% (-0.192 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.24% (-0.134 -0.13)53.76% (0.14 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.76% (-0.113 -0.11)75.24% (0.119 0.12)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (0.11499999999999 0.11)23.32% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.73% (0.166 0.17)57.27% (-0.159 -0.16)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65% (-0.346 -0.35)34.36% (0.351 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.94% (-0.37 -0.37)71.06% (0.376 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 46.01%
    Bologna 27.75%
    Draw 26.24%
CagliariDrawBologna
1-0 @ 11.66% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.49% (0.101 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.12% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 46.01%
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 8.56% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.57% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 27.75%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Bologna

Cagliari
20.8%
Draw
25.0%
Bologna
54.2%
48
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Bologna
2-1
Cagliari
Zirkzee (59'), Fabbian (89')
Ferguson (40')
Luvumbo (22')
Sulemana (70'), Makoumbou (90')
Oct 20, 2022 8pm
Second Round
Bologna
1-0
Cagliari
Obert (69' og.)
Jan 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Cagliari
2-1
Bologna
Pavoletti (71'), Pereiro (90+4')
Carboni (14'), Altare (19'), Deiola (57')
Orsolini (54')
Theate (15'), De Silvestri (86')
Nov 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Bologna
2-0
Cagliari
De Silvestri (49'), Arnautovic (90+6')
Svanberg (40'), Hickey (70'), Medel (90+1')

Pedro (68'), Pavoletti (90+3')
Caceres (90')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Cagliari
1-0
Bologna
Rugani (19')
Nandez (15'), Cerri (89')

Antov (26'), Schouten (86'), Mihajlovic (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan29244171145776
2AC Milan29195555332262
3Juventus29178444232159
4Bologna29159542251754
5Roma29156855352051
6Atalanta BCAtalanta28145951321947
7Napoli29129844331145
8Fiorentina2812794132943
9Lazio29134123633343
10Monza2911993236-442
11Torino29101182826241
12Genoa29810113136-534
13Lecce29610132645-1928
14Udinese29415102844-1627
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2968152639-1326
16CagliariCagliari2968152950-2126
17Empoli2967162243-2125
18FrosinoneFrosinone2966173760-2324
19SassuoloSassuolo2965183356-2323
20Salernitana2928192359-3614


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