Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Bologna |
46.01% ( 0.37) | 26.24% ( -0.01) | 27.75% ( -0.35) |
Both teams to score 50.34% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.24% ( -0.13) | 53.76% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.76% ( -0.11) | 75.24% ( 0.12) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.68% ( 0.11) | 23.32% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.73% ( 0.17) | 57.27% ( -0.16) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.65% ( -0.35) | 34.36% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.94% ( -0.37) | 71.06% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.81% Total : 46.01% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.23% Total : 27.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 57 | 76 |
2 | AC Milan | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 62 |
3 | Juventus | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 59 |
4 | Bologna | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Roma | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
7 | Napoli | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 45 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
9 | Lazio | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Monza | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 41 |
12 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
13 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
14 | Udinese | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 26 |
17 | Empoli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 25 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 24 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 23 |
20 | Salernitana | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 59 | -36 | 14 |
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