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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Cagliari logo

Lazio
1 - 0
Cagliari

Pedro (8')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hatzidiakos (12'), Nandez (75')
Makoumbou (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 2-0 Celtic
Tuesday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Monza
Sunday, November 26 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-1 Cagliari

The pressure is on Lazio to produce, as they face promoted opponents and have plenty of catching up to do in Serie A. Last term's runners-up are also without half of their first-choice back four, but Cagliari can be caught out defensively and will surely suffer the same fate as Celtic. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 48.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 25.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.

Result
LazioDrawCagliari
48.73% (-0.155 -0.16) 25.74% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 25.53% (0.096 0.1)
Both teams to score 50.09% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.76% (-0.15 -0.15)53.23% (0.147 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.2% (-0.13 -0.13)74.79% (0.125 0.13)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.13% (-0.131 -0.13)21.86% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.89% (-0.198 -0.2)55.1% (0.195 0.2)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.1% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)35.89% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.32% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)72.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 48.73%
    Cagliari 25.53%
    Draw 25.74%
LazioDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 11.93% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 48.73%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.85% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.26% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.12% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 25.53%

How you voted: Lazio vs Cagliari

Lazio
89.7%
Draw
10.3%
Cagliari
0.0%
39
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Cagliari
0-3
Lazio

Altare (18'), Marin (75'), Lovato (90+2')
Immobile (19' pen.), Alberto (42'), Anderson (62')
Marusic (71')
Marusic (89')
Sep 19, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 4
Lazio
2-2
Cagliari
Immobile (45'), Cataldi (83')
Felipe (42')
Pedro (46'), Balde (62')
Caceres (6'), Zappa (61'), Mazzarri (83')
Zappa (90+4')
Feb 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Lazio
1-0
Cagliari
Immobile (61')
Correa (69'), Inzaghi (87'), Parolo (87')

Nandez (31'), Pedro (82')
Sep 26, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 2
Cagliari
0-2
Lazio

Marin (51')
Lazzari (4'), Immobile (74')
Leiva (61')
Jul 23, 2020 8.45pm
Gameweek 35
Lazio
2-1
Cagliari
Milinkovic-Savic (47'), Immobile (60')
Jony (45+1'), Lazzari (50'), Parolo (90')
Simeone (45')
Klavan (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan29244171145776
2AC Milan29195555332262
3Juventus29178444232159
4Bologna29159542251754
5Roma29156855352051
6Atalanta BCAtalanta28145951321947
7Napoli29129844331145
8Fiorentina2812794132943
9Lazio29134123633343
10Monza2911993236-442
11Torino29101182826241
12Genoa29810113136-534
13Lecce29610132645-1928
14Udinese29415102844-1627
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2968152639-1326
16CagliariCagliari2968152950-2126
17Empoli2967162243-2125
18FrosinoneFrosinone2966173760-2324
19SassuoloSassuolo2965183356-2323
20Salernitana2928192359-3614


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