Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 21.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Cagliari |
52.92% ( 0.67) | 25.36% ( 0.09) | 21.73% ( -0.76) |
Both teams to score 47.17% ( -1.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.98% ( -1.07) | 55.02% ( 1.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.72% ( -0.89) | 76.28% ( 0.9) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.19% ( -0.15) | 20.81% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.52% ( -0.24) | 53.48% ( 0.25) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.57% ( -1.36) | 40.43% ( 1.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.96% ( -1.26) | 77.04% ( 1.26) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 13.2% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.34% Total : 52.9% | 1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.29% Total : 21.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 57 | 76 |
2 | AC Milan | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 62 |
3 | Juventus | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 59 |
4 | Bologna | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Roma | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
7 | Napoli | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 45 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
9 | Lazio | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Monza | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 41 |
12 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
13 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
14 | Udinese | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 26 |
17 | Empoli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 25 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 24 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 23 |
20 | Salernitana | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 59 | -36 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |