Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 69.28%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 12.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.