Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 68.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 13.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 1-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.28%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Spezia |
68.49% | 17.9% | 13.61% |
Both teams to score 55.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.75% | 36.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.63% | 58.38% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.37% | 9.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.82% | 32.18% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.14% | 38.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.4% | 75.6% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Spezia |
2-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.69% 1-0 @ 8.76% 3-0 @ 8% 3-1 @ 7.56% 4-0 @ 4.68% 4-1 @ 4.42% 3-2 @ 3.57% 5-0 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 2.09% 5-1 @ 2.07% 5-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 4.24% Total : 68.49% | 1-1 @ 8.28% 2-2 @ 4.58% 0-0 @ 3.75% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.9% | 1-2 @ 3.91% 0-1 @ 3.54% 0-2 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.44% 1-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.81% Total : 13.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 29 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 66 | 21 | 45 | 74 |
2 | Lazio | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 20 | 26 | 58 |
3 | Roma | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 53 |
4 | AC Milan | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 52 |
5 | Inter Milan | 29 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 48 |
7 | Juventus | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 44 |
8 | Bologna | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 43 |
9 | Fiorentina | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 41 |
10 | Udinese | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 39 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 38 |
12 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 37 |
13 | Monza | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 35 |
14 | Empoli | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 32 |
15 | Salernitana | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 29 |
16 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 27 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 22 |
19 | Cremonese | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 27 | 54 | -27 | 19 |
20 | Sampdoria | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 50 | -32 | 15 |
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