Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 48%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lazio in this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Lazio |
28.23% | 23.77% | 48% |
Both teams to score 58.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.02% | 42.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.61% | 65.39% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.63% | 28.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.89% | 64.12% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.93% | 18.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.01% | 49% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Lazio |
2-1 @ 6.96% 1-0 @ 6.46% 2-0 @ 4.07% 3-1 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.69% Total : 28.23% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 9.45% 0-1 @ 8.77% 0-2 @ 7.5% 1-3 @ 5.39% 0-3 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 3.4% 1-4 @ 2.31% 0-4 @ 1.83% 2-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.62% Total : 48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 29 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 66 | 21 | 45 | 74 |
2 | Lazio | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 61 |
3 | Roma | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 53 |
4 | AC Milan | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 52 |
5 | Inter Milan | 29 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 48 |
7 | Juventus | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 44 |
8 | Bologna | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 43 |
9 | Fiorentina | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 41 |
10 | Udinese | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 39 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 38 |
12 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 37 |
13 | Monza | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 35 |
14 | Empoli | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 32 |
15 | Salernitana | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 29 |
16 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 27 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 22 |
19 | Cremonese | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 27 | 54 | -27 | 19 |
20 | Sampdoria | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 50 | -32 | 15 |
> Full Version |