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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.
Result | ||
Schalke 04 | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
37.95% ( -0) | 25.38% ( -0) | 36.67% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.4% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.59% ( 0.02) | 47.4% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.38% ( 0.01) | 69.62% ( -0.01) |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.45% ( 0) | 24.55% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.97% ( 0.01) | 59.03% ( -0.01) |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.75% ( 0.01) | 25.25% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40% ( 0.01) | 60% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Schalke 04 | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-0 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.01% 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 37.95% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.53% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.87% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 36.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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