Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 63.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 17.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 0-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
