Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.67%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Roma |
34.88% | 23.18% | 41.94% |
Both teams to score 64.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.86% | 37.14% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.66% | 59.34% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.51% | 21.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.46% | 54.54% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.8% | 18.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.79% | 49.22% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 7.88% 1-0 @ 6.02% 2-0 @ 4.62% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-2 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.88% | 1-1 @ 10.24% 2-2 @ 6.71% 0-0 @ 3.91% 3-3 @ 1.95% Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.17% | 1-2 @ 8.73% 0-1 @ 6.67% 0-2 @ 5.68% 1-3 @ 4.96% 2-3 @ 3.81% 0-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 2.11% 2-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.77% Total : 41.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 46 | 14 | 32 | 50 |
2 | AC Milan | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 37 |
4 | Roma | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 37 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 35 |
6 | Lazio | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 34 |
7 | Udinese | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Torino | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 26 |
9 | Juventus | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 23 |
10 | Fiorentina | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
11 | Monza | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Bologna | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 22 |
14 | Lecce | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
15 | SpeziaSpezia | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 18 |
16 | Salernitana | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
17 | SassuoloSassuolo | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 17 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 12 |
19 | Sampdoria | 19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 32 | -24 | 9 |
20 | Cremonese | 18 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 7 |
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