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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Jun 25, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Orlando City
Cincinnati
1 - 0
Orlando City
Brenner (65')
Brenner (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Smith (72')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 2-1 Houston
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-1 Orlando City

There is no doubt that Cincinnati are vastly improved, although they continue to struggle at home, winning only twice at TQL Stadium in 2022. Orlando have shown that they can be potent in the attacking third once in a while, but we have not seen enough consistency in that department to believe they will manage to shut down a dynamic attacking team in Cincy for a full 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Cincinnati in this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawOrlando City
38.91% (1.808 1.81) 26.66% (-0.365 -0.36) 34.43% (-1.438 -1.44)
Both teams to score 51.85% (1.024 1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.89% (1.362 1.36)53.11% (-1.357 -1.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.31% (1.145 1.15)74.69% (-1.142 -1.14)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (1.683 1.68)26.65% (-1.68 -1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (2.171 2.17)61.89% (-2.169 -2.17)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (-0.229 -0.23)29.3% (0.232 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.73% (-0.28 -0.28)65.27% (0.28400000000001 0.28)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 38.9%
    Orlando City 34.43%
    Draw 26.65%
FC CincinnatiDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 10.32% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.289 0.29)
2-0 @ 6.83% (0.278 0.28)
3-1 @ 3.69% (0.292 0.29)
3-0 @ 3.01% (0.255 0.26)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.166 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.148 0.15)
4-0 @ 1% (0.127 0.13)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 38.9%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 7.81% (-0.427 -0.43)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.145 0.15)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.59% (-0.583 -0.58)
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.88% (-0.402 -0.4)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.181 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 34.43%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Orlando City

FC Cincinnati
27.3%
Draw
33.3%
Orlando City
39.4%
33
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City
1-2
Cincinnati
Urso (42')
Jansson (58'), Urso (73'), Carlos (81')
Vazquez (13', 53')
Vazquez (37'), Blackett (61'), Kubo (63'), Kann (90+2')
Oct 17, 2021 12.30am
Aug 8, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-1
Orlando City
Brenner (42')
Matarrita (53')
Nani (56')
Schlegel (68'), Mueller (77'), Dezart (84')
May 2, 2021 12.30am
Orlando City
3-0
Cincinnati
Akindele (1'), Nani (19'), Urso (80')
Mendez (26'), Mueller (62')

Stanko (78')
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati27176444301457
2New England RevolutionNew England26138545311447
3Orlando City27138641311047
4Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia26144847311646
5Columbus Crew27136854371745
6Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2811985143842
7Nashville SCNashville2711793227540
8CF MontrealMontreal27112142840-1235
9DC United2796123738-133
10Chicago Fire2788113242-1032
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2671093443-931
12New York City FCNY City28612102836-830
13New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls2778122433-929
14Inter MiamiInter Miami2574142737-1025
15Toronto27410132339-1622

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City271521053351847
2Seattle SoundersSeattle2811893429541
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles26117840301040
4Real Salt LakeSalt Lake2711793839-140
5Houston DynamoHouston27116103631539
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2610884336738
7Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd269983332136
8San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes279993236-436
9Dallas2697102930-134
10Austin FCAustin2796123843-533
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas2788113637-132
12Portland TimbersPortland2779113244-1230
13Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy2578103139-829
14Colorado RapidsColorado26310131639-2319

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