Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 25.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Lazio |
51.16% | 23.79% | 25.04% |
Both teams to score 55.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.42% | 45.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.1% | 67.9% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.16% | 17.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.4% | 48.59% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.83% | 32.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.35% | 68.65% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 9.89% 2-1 @ 9.67% 2-0 @ 8.53% 3-1 @ 5.56% 3-0 @ 4.9% 3-2 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 2.11% 4-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.61% Total : 51.16% | 1-1 @ 11.22% 0-0 @ 5.74% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.79% | 0-1 @ 6.51% 1-2 @ 6.36% 0-2 @ 3.69% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.6% Total : 25.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 33 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 69 | 23 | 46 | 80 |
2 | Lazio | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 64 |
3 | Inter Milan | 34 | 20 | 3 | 11 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 63 |
4 | Juventus | 33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 63 |
5 | AC Milan | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 39 | 16 | 61 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 58 |
7 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 58 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 46 |
9 | Bologna | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Monza | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 45 |
11 | Torino | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 45 |
12 | Udinese | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 43 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 43 |
14 | Salernitana | 33 | 7 | 14 | 12 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 35 |
15 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 35 |
16 | Lecce | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 31 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 27 | 51 | -24 | 27 |
18 | SpeziaSpezia | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 28 | 54 | -26 | 27 |
19 | Cremonese | 33 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 29 | 59 | -30 | 21 |
20 | Sampdoria | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 20 | 59 | -39 | 17 |
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