Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 52.56%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Lazio |
52.56% | 23.1% | 24.34% |
Both teams to score 57.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.83% | 43.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.43% | 65.57% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.56% | 16.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.88% | 46.12% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.55% | 31.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.17% | 67.83% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Lazio |
2-1 @ 9.75% 1-0 @ 9.33% 2-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 5.87% 3-0 @ 5.07% 3-2 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 2.65% 4-0 @ 2.29% 4-2 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.3% Total : 52.56% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 5.64% 0-0 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.09% | 1-2 @ 6.25% 0-1 @ 5.98% 0-2 @ 3.46% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.74% Total : 24.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 46 | 14 | 32 | 50 |
2 | AC Milan | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 38 |
3 | Lazio | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 37 |
4 | Inter Milan | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 37 |
5 | Roma | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 37 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 35 |
7 | Udinese | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Torino | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 26 |
9 | Empoli | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 25 |
10 | Juventus | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 23 |
11 | Fiorentina | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
12 | Bologna | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 23 |
13 | Monza | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
14 | Lecce | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
15 | SpeziaSpezia | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 18 |
16 | Salernitana | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
17 | SassuoloSassuolo | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 17 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 12 |
19 | Sampdoria | 19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 32 | -24 | 9 |
20 | Cremonese | 19 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 33 | -19 | 8 |
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