Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Napoli |
31.23% | 23.78% | 44.98% |
Both teams to score 60.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.65% | 41.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.25% | 63.74% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.43% | 25.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.56% | 60.44% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.36% | 18.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.04% | 49.95% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 7.45% 1-0 @ 6.5% 2-0 @ 4.43% 3-1 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.49% Total : 31.23% | 1-1 @ 10.91% 2-2 @ 6.25% 0-0 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 9.17% 0-1 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 6.72% 1-3 @ 5.14% 0-3 @ 3.77% 2-3 @ 3.5% 1-4 @ 2.16% 0-4 @ 1.58% 2-4 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.47% Total : 44.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 65 |
2 | Lazio | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 48 |
3 | Inter Milan | 24 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 47 |
4 | AC Milan | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 47 |
5 | Roma | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 44 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 41 |
7 | Juventus | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 40 | 19 | 21 | 35 |
8 | Bologna | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 35 |
9 | Torino | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 31 |
10 | Udinese | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 31 |
11 | Monza | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 29 |
12 | Fiorentina | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 28 |
13 | Empoli | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 28 |
14 | SassuoloSassuolo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 27 |
15 | Lecce | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
16 | Salernitana | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 24 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 17 |
19 | Cremonese | 24 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 12 |
20 | Sampdoria | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 11 |
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