Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | AC Milan |
42.33% | 23.67% | 34% |
Both teams to score 62.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.19% | 39.81% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.84% | 62.17% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.87% | 19.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.22% | 50.78% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.79% | 23.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.89% | 57.11% |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 8.87% 1-0 @ 7.34% 2-0 @ 6.07% 3-1 @ 4.89% 3-2 @ 3.57% 3-0 @ 3.35% 4-1 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.36% Total : 42.33% | 1-1 @ 10.72% 2-2 @ 6.48% 0-0 @ 4.44% 3-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.67% | 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-1 @ 6.49% 0-2 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 3.81% 2-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.12% Total : 34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 58 | 15 | 43 | 65 |
2 | Inter Milan | 24 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 47 |
3 | AC Milan | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 47 |
4 | Roma | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 44 |
5 | Lazio | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 42 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 41 |
7 | Bologna | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 35 |
8 | Juventus | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 32 |
9 | Udinese | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Torino | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 31 |
11 | Monza | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 29 |
12 | Empoli | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 28 |
13 | Lecce | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
14 | SassuoloSassuolo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 27 |
15 | Fiorentina | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 25 |
16 | Salernitana | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 24 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 17 |
19 | Sampdoria | 23 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 11 | 38 | -27 | 11 |
20 | Cremonese | 23 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 9 |
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