Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | AC Milan |
41.64% | 24.2% | 34.17% |
Both teams to score 60.23% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.73% | 42.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.33% | 64.67% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.53% | 20.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.06% | 52.94% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.73% | 24.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.37% | 58.63% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 8.85% 1-0 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 4.68% 3-2 @ 3.31% 3-0 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.89% Total : 41.64% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 2-2 @ 6.27% 0-0 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 7.9% 0-1 @ 7.03% 0-2 @ 4.98% 1-3 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.85% Total : 34.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 33 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 69 | 23 | 46 | 80 |
2 | Lazio | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 64 |
3 | Inter Milan | 34 | 20 | 3 | 11 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 63 |
4 | Juventus | 33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 63 |
5 | AC Milan | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 39 | 16 | 61 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 58 |
7 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 58 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 46 |
9 | Bologna | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Monza | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 45 |
11 | Torino | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 45 |
12 | Udinese | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 43 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 43 |
14 | Salernitana | 33 | 7 | 14 | 12 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 35 |
15 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 35 |
16 | Lecce | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 31 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 27 | 51 | -24 | 27 |
18 | SpeziaSpezia | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 28 | 54 | -26 | 27 |
19 | Cremonese | 33 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 29 | 59 | -30 | 21 |
20 | Sampdoria | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 20 | 59 | -39 | 17 |
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