Cagliari 2-1 Bologna - Serie A - January 11, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

2 - 1

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Pavoletti (71'), Pereiro (90+4')
Carboni (14'), Altare (19'), Deiola (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Orsolini (54')
Theate (15'), De Silvestri (86')

The Match

We said: Cagliari 2-1 Bologna

Due to the severity of the visitors' COVID-19 outbreak, we are predicting a home win for Cagliari on Sunday, which would provide a huge boost to their survival hopes. With their opponents' squad facing a lack of fitness and preparation, they will not be given many better opportunities, although with some first-teamers still remaining available, a strong performance will still be required if they are to earn a crucial three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cagliari in this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Bologna
41.53%	24.48%	33.99%

Both teams to score 59.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.33%

43.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.94%

66.06%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.88%

21.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.05%

53.96%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.97%

25.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.3%

59.7%

Score Analysis

Cagliari 41.53%

Bologna 33.99%

Draw 24.48%

Cagliari	Draw	Bologna
2-1 @ 8.85% 1-0 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 6.39% 3-1 @ 4.59% 3-0 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 3.18% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.68% Total : 41.53%	1-1 @ 11.38% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.48%	1-2 @ 7.89% 0-1 @ 7.32% 0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.26% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.99%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Bologna

Cagliari

60.0%

Draw

14.9%

Bologna

25.1%

Head to Head

Nov 1, 2021 7.45pm

Gameweek 11

2-0

De Silvestri (49'), Arnautovic (90+6')
Svanberg (40'), Hickey (70'), Medel (90+1')

Pedro (68'), Pavoletti (90+3')
Caceres (90')

Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm

Gameweek 25

1-0

Rugani (19')
Nandez (15'), Cerri (89')

Antov (26'), Schouten (86'), Mihajlovic (88')

Oct 31, 2020 7.45pm

Gameweek 6

3-2

Barrow (45', 56'), Soriano (52')
Larangeira (37'), De Silvestri (65'), Schouten (68')

Pedro (15'), Simeone (47')
Lykogiannis (21'), Pedro (35'), Cragno (40')

Jul 1, 2020 6.30pm

Gameweek 29

1-1

Oct 30, 2019 8pm

Gameweek 10

3-2