Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 16.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Lecce |
58.27% ( -0.14) | 24.87% ( 0.05) | 16.85% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 41.26% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.13% ( -0.03) | 58.88% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.63% ( -0.02) | 79.37% ( 0.02) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.81% ( -0.07) | 20.19% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.5% ( -0.11) | 52.5% ( 0.11) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.7% ( 0.11) | 48.3% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.55% ( 0.08) | 83.45% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 15.6% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.48% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.08% 3-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 58.27% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.46% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 16.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 57 | 76 |
2 | AC Milan | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 62 |
3 | Juventus | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 59 |
4 | Bologna | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Roma | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
7 | Napoli | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 45 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
9 | Lazio | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Monza | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 41 |
12 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
13 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
14 | Udinese | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 26 |
17 | Empoli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 25 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 24 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 23 |
20 | Salernitana | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 59 | -36 | 14 |
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