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La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 14, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Valencia logo
Cadiz
1 - 4
Valencia
Alcaraz (21' pen.)
Hernandez (30'), Alejo (57'), Alcaraz (63'), Hernandez (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Duro (8'), Lopez (52'), Guerra (90+4'), Vazquez (90+8')
Guillamon (57'), Mamardashvili (90+1')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Granada 2-0 Cadiz
Wednesday, January 3 at 4pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cartagena 1-2 Valencia
Sunday, January 7 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Cadiz 1-2 Valencia

Valencia have the winning habit at the moment, and the visitors will fancy their chances of putting another victory on the board this weekend. Cadiz are certainly better than what they have shown this season, but we are finding it difficult to back them to avoid defeat in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 42.21%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 28.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 1-2 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
CadizDrawValencia
28.61% (-0.212 -0.21) 29.17% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 42.21% (0.231 0.23)
Both teams to score 42.79% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.41% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)63.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.11% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)82.89% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.98% (-0.184 -0.18)39.01% (0.183 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.26% (-0.172 -0.17)75.73% (0.169 0.17)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17% (0.122 0.12)29.83% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09% (0.149 0.15)65.91% (-0.151 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 28.61%
    Valencia 42.21%
    Draw 29.17%
CadizDrawValencia
1-0 @ 10.95% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 6.24% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.16% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.96% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.62% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.18% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 28.61%
1-1 @ 13.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.17%
0-1 @ 14.07% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 8.52% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.02% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.43% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.015 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 42.21%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Valencia

Cadiz
13.8%
Draw
19.0%
Valencia
67.2%
58
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 10
Valencia
2-0
Cadiz
Gaya (4'), Duro (26')

Pires (68'), Fali (71'), Sobrino (90+2')
Navarro (22')
Apr 30, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 32
Cadiz
2-1
Valencia
Escalante (39'), Guardiola (46')
Lino (51')
Jan 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 16
Valencia
0-1
Cadiz
Alcaraz (9')
Apr 3, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Valencia
0-0
Cadiz
Alderete (59'), Paulista (66'), Diakhaby (90+6')
Fede (33'), Alejo (58'), Alcaraz (77'), Mari (86'), Lozano (87')
Mari (90+5')
Feb 2, 2022 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Valencia
2-1
Cadiz
Guedes (24'), Duro (79')
Gaya (34'), Comert (53'), Gomez (87')
Perez (54' pen.)
Alejo (38'), Alcaraz (59'), Sobrino (61'), Cala (71'), Parra (87')
Cala (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GironaGirona20154146242249
2Real Madrid19153140112948
3Athletic Bilbao20125338201841
4Barcelona19125236221441
5Atletico MadridAtletico19122539231638
6Real Sociedad2088431211032
7Real BetisBetis2071032220231
8Valencia208572624229
9Las PalmasLas Palmas208481917228
10Getafe196852425-126
11Rayo Vallecano195861824-623
12Osasuna196492229-722
13AlavesAlaves2055101827-920
14Mallorca2031071824-619
15Villarreal2054112741-1419
16Celta Vigo203892130-917
17Sevilla2037102530-516
18CadizCadiz202991530-1515
19Granada2025132241-1911
20Almeria2006141943-246

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